World Threat Model Harness
A system of 11 persistent world models spanning 6 months to 50 years. Each model is a deep (~10 page) analysis of geopolitics, technology, economics, society, environment, security, and wildcards for that time horizon. Ideas, strategies, and investments are tested against ALL horizons simultaneously using adversarial analysis (RedTeam, FirstPrinciples, Council).
Workflow Routing
Trigger Workflow Description
"test idea", "test strategy", "test investment", "how will this hold up", "stress test", "test against future" Workflows/TestIdea.md
Test any input against all 11 world models
"update world model", "update models", "refresh models", "new analysis" Workflows/UpdateModels.md
Refresh world model content with new research/analysis
"view world model", "show models", "current models", "model status" Workflows/ViewModels.md
Read and summarize current world model state
Tier System
All workflows support three execution tiers:
Tier Target Time Strategy When to Use
Fast ~2 min Single agent synthesizes across all models Quick gut-check, casual exploration
Standard ~10 min 11 parallel agents + RedTeam + FirstPrinciples Most use cases, good depth/speed balance
Deep Up to 1 hr 11 parallel agents + per-horizon Research + RedTeam + Council + FirstPrinciples High-stakes decisions, major investments
Default tier: Standard. User specifies with "fast", "deep", or tier defaults to Standard.
World Model Storage
Models are stored at: $PAI_DIR/MEMORY/RESEARCH/WorldModels/
File Horizon
INDEX.md
Summary of all models with last-updated dates
6-month.md
6-month outlook
1-year.md
1-year outlook
2-year.md
2-year outlook
3-year.md
3-year outlook
5-year.md
5-year outlook
7-year.md
7-year outlook
10-year.md
10-year outlook
15-year.md
15-year outlook
20-year.md
20-year outlook
30-year.md
30-year outlook
50-year.md
50-year outlook
Context Files
File Purpose
ModelTemplate.md
Template structure for world model documents
OutputFormat.md
Template for TestIdea results output
Skill Integrations
This skill orchestrates multiple PAI capabilities:
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RedTeam — Adversarial stress testing of ideas against each horizon
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FirstPrinciples — Decompose idea assumptions into hard/soft/assumption constraints
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Council — Multi-perspective debate on idea viability across horizons
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Research — Deep research for model creation and updates
Voice Notification
Before any workflow execution:
curl -s -X POST http://localhost:8888/notify
-H "Content-Type: application/json"
-d '{"message": "Running WORKFLOW_NAME in the World Threat Model Harness", "voice_id": "fTtv3eikoepIosk8dTZ5"}'
Customization Check
Before execution, check for user customizations at: ~/.claude/PAI/USER/SKILLCUSTOMIZATIONS/WorldThreatModelHarness/