insurance-actuarial-python

使用奇异谱分析和平稳自助法对利率时间序列进行分解与统计推断,构建 NSS 曲线模型并校准利率衍生品参数。

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Install skill "insurance-actuarial-python" with this command: npx skills add tangweigang-jpg/insurance-actuarial-python

保险精算建模 (insurance-actuarial-python)

使用奇异谱分析和平稳自助法对利率时间序列进行分解与统计推断,构建 NSS 曲线模型并校准利率衍生品参数。

Pipeline

data_collection -> data_storage -> factor_computation -> target_selection -> trading_execution -> visualization

Top Use Cases (2 total)

Singular Spectrum Analysis Time Series Decomposition (UC-101)

Decomposes time series data into interpretable components (trend, seasonality, noise) using Singular Spectrum Analysis to identify underlying patterns Triggers: SSA, singular spectrum analysis, time series decomposition

Stationary Bootstrap for Interest Rate Swap Inference (UC-102)

Applies stationary bootstrap resampling method to Italian swap rate data for statistical inference, enabling confidence interval estimation and hypoth Triggers: stationary bootstrap, swap rates, resampling

Execute trigger: When user intent matches intent_router.uc_entries[].positive_terms AND user uses action verb (run/execute/跑/执行/backtest/fetch/collect)

What I'll Ask You

  • Target market: A-share (default), HK, or crypto? (US stocks in ZVT are half-baked — stockus_nasdaq_AAPL exists but coverage is thin)
  • Data source / provider: eastmoney (free, no account), joinquant (account+paid), baostock (free, good history), akshare, or qmt (broker)?
  • Strategy type: MACD golden-cross, MA crossover, volume breakout, fundamental screen, or custom factor?
  • Time range: start_timestamp and end_timestamp for backtest period
  • Target entity IDs: specific stocks (stock_sh_600000) or index components (SZ1000)?

Semantic Locks (Fatal)

IDRuleOn Violation
SL-01Execute sell orders before buy orders in every trading cyclehalt
SL-02Trading signals MUST use next-bar execution (no look-ahead)halt
SL-03Entity IDs MUST follow format entity_type_exchange_codehalt
SL-04DataFrame index MUST be MultiIndex (entity_id, timestamp)halt
SL-05TradingSignal MUST have EXACTLY ONE of: position_pct, order_money, order_amounthalt
SL-06filter_result column semantics: True=BUY, False=SELL, None/NaN=NO ACTIONhalt
SL-07Transformer MUST run BEFORE Accumulator in factor pipelinehalt
SL-08MACD parameters locked: fast=12, slow=26, signal=9halt

Full lock definitions: references/LOCKS.md

Top Anti-Patterns (15 total)

  • AP-INSURANCE-001: Implicit numeric format assumptions without validation
  • AP-INSURANCE-002: Triangle axis construction with invalid temporal ordering
  • AP-INSURANCE-003: Cumulative/incremental triangle representation misuse

All 15 anti-patterns: references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md

Evidence Quality Notice

[QUALITY NOTICE] This crystal was compiled from blueprint finance-bp-064. Evidence verify ratio = 11.6% and audit fail total = 40. Generated results may have uncaptured requirement gaps. Verify critical decisions against source files (LATEST.yaml / LATEST.jsonl).

Reference Files

FileContentsWhen to Load
references/seed.yamlV6+ 全量权威 (source-of-truth)有行为/决策争议时必读
references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md15 条跨项目反模式开始实现前
references/WISDOM.md跨项目精华借鉴架构决策时
references/CONSTRAINTS.mddomain + fatal 约束规则冲突时
references/USE_CASES.md全量 KUC-* 业务场景需要完整示例时
references/LOCKS.mdSL-* + preconditions + hints生成回测/交易代码前
references/COMPONENTS.mdAST 组件地图(按 module 拆分)查 API 时

Compiled by Doramagic crystal-compilation-v6.1 from finance-bp-064 blueprint at 2026-04-22T13:00:20.990803+00:00. See human_summary.md for non-technical overview.

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