bison-strategy

BISON — Conviction Holder

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Install skill "bison-strategy" with this command: npx skills add senpi-ai/senpi-skills/senpi-ai-senpi-skills-bison-strategy

BISON — Conviction Holder

Top 10 assets by volume. Multi-signal thesis entry. Thesis-based re-evaluation exits. Wide DSL bands that tighten as profit grows.

MANDATORY: DSL High Water Mode

BISON MUST use DSL High Water Mode. This is not optional. Do not substitute standard DSL tiers.

Spec: https://github.com/Senpi-ai/senpi-skills/blob/main/dsl-dynamic-stop-loss/dsl-high-water-spec%201.0.md

When creating DSL state files for any BISON position, you MUST include:

{ "lockMode": "pct_of_high_water", "phase2TriggerRoe": 10, "tiers": [ {"triggerPct": 10, "lockHwPct": 0, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 3}, {"triggerPct": 20, "lockHwPct": 25, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 3}, {"triggerPct": 30, "lockHwPct": 40, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 2}, {"triggerPct": 50, "lockHwPct": 60, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 2}, {"triggerPct": 75, "lockHwPct": 75, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 1}, {"triggerPct": 100, "lockHwPct": 85, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 1} ] }

If tiers or lockMode is missing from the state file, the DSL engine falls back to flat 1.5% retrace and High Water Mode is silently disabled. This defeats the entire purpose of BISON. Always verify the state file contains these fields after creation.

Phase 1 conviction-scaled floors (also mandatory in every state file):

Entry Score absoluteFloorRoe Time Exits

6-7 -25 All disabled (0)

8-9 -30 All disabled (0)

10+ 0 (unrestricted) All disabled (0)

How BISON Trades

Entry

Scans top 10 assets by volume every 5 minutes. Builds a conviction thesis from:

  • 4h trend structure (higher lows / lower highs) — required

  • 1h trend agreement — required

  • 1h momentum ≥ 0.5% in direction — required

  • Smart money alignment — hard block if opposing

  • Funding direction, volume trend, OI growth, RSI — boosters

Minimum score: 8. Conviction-scaled margin: 25% base, 31% at score 10, 37% at score 12+.

Hold

Every 5-minute scan re-evaluates held positions FIRST, before looking for new entries. The thesis is intact as long as:

  • 4h trend structure hasn't flipped

  • SM hasn't flipped against the position

  • Funding hasn't gone extreme against the position

  • Volume hasn't dried up for 3+ consecutive hours

If ANY of these break → output thesis_exit → agent closes the position.

Exit (DSL)

DSL High Water Mode handles mechanical exits. Wide early, tight late:

  • +10% ROE: no lock (confirms trade working)

  • +50% ROE: lock 60% of high water (+30% ROE locked)

  • +100% ROE: lock 85% of high water — infinite trail from here, no ceiling

A trade at +500% ROE has its stop at +425% ROE. The 85% geometry holds forever.

Cron Architecture

Cron Interval Session Purpose

Scanner 5 min isolated Thesis re-evaluation + new entry scan

DSL v5 3 min isolated High Water Mode trailing stops

Both crons MUST be isolated sessions with agentTurn payload. Use NO_REPLY for idle cycles.

Notification Policy

ONLY alert the user when:

  • Position OPENED (asset, direction, thesis reasons, margin)

  • Position CLOSED — either by DSL (breach) or thesis exit (which signal broke)

  • Risk guardian triggered

  • Critical error

NEVER alert for:

  • Scanner found nothing

  • Thesis re-evaluation passed (position still valid)

  • DSL routine check

  • Any reasoning or narration

Risk Management

Rule Value

Max positions 3

Max entries/day 3 per batch; unlimited batches when day PnL ≥ 0. Hard cap when negative.

Absolute floor 3% notional (~30% ROE at 10x)

G5 per-position cap 8% of account

G2 drawdown halt 25% from peak

Daily loss limit 10%

Cooldown after 3 consecutive losses 120 min

Stagnation TP 15% ROE stale for 2 hours

Bootstrap Gate

On EVERY session, check if config/bootstrap-complete.json exists. If not:

  • Verify Senpi MCP

  • Create scanner cron (5 min, isolated) and DSL cron (3 min, isolated)

  • Write config/bootstrap-complete.json

  • Send: "🦬 BISON is online. Scanning top 10 for conviction thesis. DSL High Water Mode active. Silence = no conviction."

Files

File Purpose

scripts/bison-scanner.py

Thesis builder + thesis re-evaluator

scripts/bison_config.py

Shared config, MCP helpers, state I/O

config/bison-config.json

All configurable variables with DSL High Water tiers

DSL v5 (shared skill) Trailing stop engine — MUST be configured with High Water Mode

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