gator-strategy

GATOR — Patient Funding Arbitrage

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Install skill "gator-strategy" with this command: npx skills add senpi-ai/senpi-skills/senpi-ai-senpi-skills-gator-strategy

GATOR — Patient Funding Arbitrage

Lies motionless for hours. Collects funding. Then snaps.

Evolved from CROC's live trading failure: CROC lost 14% because momentum DSL rules (15-min weak peak, 30-min hard timeout) killed funding arb trades that need hours to play out. GATOR removes all time-based exits and uses structural thesis invalidation instead.

What Makes GATOR Different from CROC

CROC uses the same DSL rules as momentum strategies. GATOR uses funding-specific exit logic:

Aspect CROC GATOR

Min funding 20% annualized 120% annualized — absolute extremes only

Weak peak cut 15 min (or widened by agent) Disabled

Hard timeout 30 min (or widened by agent) Disabled

Primary exit Time-based (DSL Phase 1 timeout) Structural (funding flips = exit)

Funding flip exit Not implemented Instant — funding reverses direction = thesis dead

Funding normalize exit Not implemented Funding drops below 50% ann = arb is over

OI collapse exit Not implemented OI drops 20%+ in 2h = chaotic unwind, take what you have

Funding income tracking None Tracks income per position

Phase 2 trigger +7% ROE +10% ROE — funding arb is slower

Stagnation TP 30 min 180 min — funding trades are slow by design

MANDATORY: DSL High Water Mode

GATOR MUST use DSL High Water Mode. This is not optional.

Spec: https://github.com/Senpi-ai/senpi-skills/blob/main/dsl-dynamic-stop-loss/dsl-high-water-spec%201.0.md

When creating DSL state files, you MUST include:

{ "lockMode": "pct_of_high_water", "phase2TriggerRoe": 10, "tiers": [ {"triggerPct": 10, "lockHwPct": 20, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 3}, {"triggerPct": 20, "lockHwPct": 40, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 3}, {"triggerPct": 35, "lockHwPct": 60, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 2}, {"triggerPct": 50, "lockHwPct": 75, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 1}, {"triggerPct": 75, "lockHwPct": 85, "consecutiveBreachesRequired": 1} ] }

FALLBACK: Use tiersLegacyFallback from config until engine supports pct_of_high_water .

CRITICAL: Do NOT use momentum DSL rules on GATOR. No hard timeouts, no weak peak cuts, no dead weight. These will kill funding trades that are working exactly as designed — collecting funding while consolidating sideways.

How GATOR Trades

Entry (score ≥ 6)

Every 15 minutes, scan all assets for extreme funding:

Signal Points

Funding ≥ 200% annualized 4

Funding ≥ 150% annualized 3

Funding ≥ 120% annualized 2

Deep OI (> $20M) 2

Moderate OI (> $10M) 1

SM aligned with entry direction 1

Trend confirms entry direction 1

Direction: OPPOSITE to funding. Positive funding (crowd long) = enter short. Negative funding (crowd short) = enter long.

Conviction-scaled margin: 200%+ ann = 30% of account, 150%+ = 25%, 120%+ = 20%.

Hold

The scanner re-validates every held position on each scan. The position holds as long as:

  • Funding has NOT flipped direction

  • Funding is still above 50% annualized

  • OI has not collapsed 20%+ in 2 hours

A funding trade can hold for 2 hours, 8 hours, 24 hours — as long as the thesis is alive. Every hour it holds, it collects funding payments at 120%+ annualized rates. The longer it holds, the more income subsidizes the position's risk.

Exit Triggers (any one = close immediately)

Trigger What It Means

Funding flips direction The crowd unwound. Thesis is dead.

Funding drops below 50% ann The extreme normalized. The arb is over.

OI collapses 20%+ in 2h Chaotic unwind. Take what you have.

DSL breach High Water stop hit — mechanical exit.

No time exits. No "it's been 30 minutes and nothing happened." Funding arb IS "nothing happening" — you're collecting payments while price consolidates.

DSL: Widest Tiers in the Zoo

Funding arb entries retrace hard before the snap. The crowd doesn't give up easily — price pushes against you before it reverses. GATOR needs the widest Phase 1 and the most patient Phase 2:

Setting Value Compare to FOX

Floor base 3.5% notional FOX: 1.5%

Phase 2 trigger +10% ROE FOX: +7%

T1 lock 20% of HW FOX: 40%

85% trail at +75% ROE FOX: +20%

Stagnation TP 15% ROE, 180 min FOX: 10%, 45 min

Risk Management

Rule Value

Max positions 3

Max entries/day 4 (base 3, dynamic to 5)

Daily loss limit 8%

Max drawdown 20%

Max single loss 10%

Cooldown 120 min after 2 consecutive losses

Cron Architecture

Cron Interval Session Purpose

Scanner 15 min isolated Funding scan + thesis validation for held positions

DSL v5 3 min isolated High Water Mode trailing (safety net)

15-minute scanner interval is intentional. Funding rates change hourly. Scanning every 3 minutes wastes tokens on data that hasn't moved. The DSL cron still runs every 3 minutes for mechanical trailing protection.

Notification Policy

ONLY alert: Position OPENED (asset, direction, funding rate, annualized %), position CLOSED (which thesis exit triggered or DSL breach), risk triggered, critical error. NEVER alert: Scanner found nothing, DSL routine, thesis validation passed, funding income update, any reasoning. All crons isolated. NO_REPLY for idle cycles.

Bootstrap Gate

Check config/bootstrap-complete.json every session. If missing:

  • Verify Senpi MCP

  • Create scanner cron (15 min, isolated) and DSL cron (3 min, isolated)

  • Write config/bootstrap-complete.json

  • Send: "🐊 GATOR is online. Scanning for 120%+ annualized funding. Structural exits only. Silence = no extremes."

Expected Behavior

Metric CROC GATOR (expected)

Trades/day 5-10 2-4

Avg hold time 15-30 min (killed by timeout) 2-8 hours

Win rate ~35-40% ~55-65%

Avg winner 10-20% ROE 15-40%+ ROE

Avg loser -3 to -8% ROE (many small) -15 to -25% ROE (fewer, bigger)

Funding income/trade Minimal (15 min holds) Significant (hours at 120%+ ann)

Fee drag/day $30-50 $5-15

Files

File Purpose

scripts/gator-scanner.py

Funding scan + thesis validation + funding income tracking

scripts/gator_config.py

Shared config, MCP helpers

config/gator-config.json

All variables with thesis exit config + DSL High Water

License

MIT — Built by Senpi (https://senpi.ai). Source: https://github.com/Senpi-ai/senpi-skills

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