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WRAP decision framework countering the four villains—narrow framing, confirmation bias, short-term emotion, and overconfidence. Use for major decisions or when stuck between options.

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WRAP Decision Framework

Apply the complete WRAP framework to make a better decision by countering the four villains of decision-making.

Instructions

Work through all four phases sequentially. Each phase targets a specific cognitive bias that undermines good decisions.

Output Format

Decision: [What are we deciding?] Context: [Key constraints and stakes]


W: WIDEN Your Options

Counter: Narrow Framing ("Should I do X?" → "What are all my options?")

Current Framing How is the decision currently framed? (Often as "whether or not")

Expanded Options

#OptionWhy It's Worth Considering
1[option][rationale]
2[option][rationale]
3[option][rationale]
4[option][rationale]

Option-Finding Techniques

  • Vanishing options test: "If you couldn't do X, what would you do?"
  • Opportunity cost: "What else could you do with this time/money?"
  • Find someone who solved it: "Who's had this problem?"

R: REALITY-TEST Your Assumptions

Counter: Confirmation Bias (seeking evidence that confirms what we want)

Key Assumptions

AssumptionHow Would We Know If Wrong?
[assumption 1][test]
[assumption 2][test]

Consider the Opposite For each option, what would it take to be convinced it's wrong?

Ooch Is there a small experiment we can run to test this before fully committing?

OptionSmall TestWhat We'd Learn
[option][test][insight]

A: ATTAIN Distance Before Deciding

Counter: Short-term Emotion (deciding when angry, excited, or desperate)

10/10/10

Time HorizonHow will you feel about this decision?
10 minutes[how you feel now]
10 months[how you'll likely feel]
10 years[long-term perspective]

What Would I Tell My Best Friend? If someone you loved faced this decision, what would you tell them?


P: PREPARE to Be Wrong

Counter: Overconfidence ("I'm sure this will work")

Premortem Imagine this decision failed completely. What went wrong?

Failure ModeHow to Prevent/Detect
[what could fail][safeguard]

Tripwires Set a future point to reconsider:

TripwireAction If Triggered
[date or condition][what we'll do]

Decision

Recommendation Based on the WRAP analysis:

[Your decision and reasoning]

Key Safeguards

  • [Safeguard 1]
  • [Safeguard 2]

Review Date: [When to reassess]

Guidelines

  • Don't skip phases—each counters a different bias
  • "Should I?" is almost always narrow framing
  • Look for the third option beyond the obvious two
  • Ooch when you can—small tests beat big analysis
  • Set tripwires before you need them

$ARGUMENTS

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